Bruins-Ducks: reverse line movement toward Anaheim
Tonight's late game (10 p.m. ET, ESPN+) shows textbook reverse line movement: 56% of moneyline bets are on Boston, yet the number has steamed toward Anaheim.
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Anaheim opened at even money and is now -103; Boston opened -120 and shortened to -117 — yet 56% of moneyline bets sit on the Bruins. The number moving against the ticket count is reverse line movement, the market's most useful single signal. (The puck line is less informative: 67% of bets back Anaheim and the price moved with them, -235 to -260.)
Boston is on the front end of a back-to-back — they face the Kings in Los Angeles roughly 23 hours after puck drop — while Anaheim has had three full days off. The goaltending edge is stark: Swayman's .930 dwarfs Dostal's .892, though Anaheim holds a clear special-teams edge over Boston's 76% penalty kill. Puck drop 10 p.m. ET on ESPN+.