Commanders vs 49ers MNF — 78% tickets on SF, juice moving to WAS

San Francisco is drawing 78% of spread tickets (22% on Washington), yet the spread has frozen at 49ers -7.5 since opening with the juice drifting toward the dog: SF went from -110 to -105 and Washington from -110 to -115. The market still expects a 49ers win (moneyline lengthened from -380 to -440), but the frozen number plus dog-leaning juice is the classic shape of respected money on the unpopular side at the key hook of 7.5. Separately, the total has steamed from 50.5 to 52.0. Kickoff tonight 8:15 PM ET at Levi's Stadium (ESPN/ABC).