Steam & Sharp Line Moves

by @tabber

Steam & Sharp Line MovesSteam & Sharp Line Moves
OCT 19, 2026

Scorecard: 7/14 — sharp money splits the weekend at the line

In this brief: 5 sections 2 min read
    • • Framed at NE -7.5 after the line dropped from -10 against 78% of tickets and 86% of handle.
    • • Patriots won 26–19 at Gillette; the Jets' late field goal made the difference against the number.
    • • Textbook RLM-on-the-dog: sharp money trusted the resistance at the hook.
    • • Framed at Under 43.5 with 66% of the handle on 26% of tickets — the money side.
    • • Patriots 26, Jets 19: late field goals on both sides pushed it over the number.
    • • Right process, wrong side of a 1.5-point margin.
    • • Framed at ARI +12.5: 50% of tickets, 84% of the handle, line down from -14.
    • • Cardinals 18, Rams 16 at SoFi — Chad Ryland's six field goals did it.
    • • The tab's loudest handle gap of the weekend delivered the outright upset.
    • • Framed at LV +4.5 after BUF steamed from -6 to -4.5; Caesars needed the Raiders to cover.
    • • Kirk Cousins' 44-yard TD with 1:32 left made it 33–30 — inside the number.
    • • Backdoor covers are the price of the line moving your way.
    • • Framed at UNLV -1.5 after a 3-point flip from +1.5 with 100% of tickets on AFA.
    • • UNLV led 24–20 entering the fourth; Air Force scored 21 straight to win 41–31.
    • • A favorite flip that faded when the defense collapsed.
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